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SL
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
NF

Swansea
1 - 4
Nott'm Forest

Piroe (62')
Downes (11'), Smith (31'), Cabango (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zinckernagel (48'), Grabban (50'), Johnson (68'), Cafu (90+3')
Osei-Tutu (20'), Spence (55'), McKenna (66'), Cafu (90+4')

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Nottingham Forest

Neither club are strangers to a draw this season, and it would come as no surprise if that was the final result at the weekend. However, there is leeway to push for all three points during the closing stages, something which may play into the favour of the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNottingham Forest
44.62%28.43%26.95%
Both teams to score 43.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.09%61.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.33%81.67%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74%63.26%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53%39.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84%76.16%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 44.62%
    Nottingham Forest 26.94%
    Draw 28.42%
Swansea CityDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 14.03%
2-0 @ 9.01%
2-1 @ 8.38%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 44.62%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 26.94%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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