Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
