Both sides will likely identify Saturday's contest as a good opportunity to pick up an important three-point haul, but we cannot quite split them and see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. The Robins will be desperate to put their two defeats behind them and post an away win, but Richardson's side should be well drilled, particularly on home turf, so we opt for a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Wigan Athletic	Draw	Bristol City
55.34% ( 0.06)	24.59% ( 0.02)	20.08% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 47.12% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.08% (

-0.16)

53.92% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.63% (

-0.13)

75.37% (

0.13)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.59% (

-0.04)

19.41% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.77% (

-0.06)

51.22% (

0.06)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46% (

-0.17)

41.54% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.97% (

-0.15)

78.03% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Wigan Athletic 55.32%

Bristol City 20.08%

Draw 24.59%

Wigan Athletic	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 55.32%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 20.08%