Although we expect Wigan to make a number of changes to their side, we still think that they have enough quality to edge out their League One opponents on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
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