Hebei
1 - 3
Evergrande

Hongbo (38')
Zhang (35'), Bao (52'), Memisevic (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wu (65'), Elkeson (87' pen.), Shihao (90+1')
Xin (56')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Quarter-finals clash between Hebei and Guangzhou.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.

Result
Hebei	Draw	Guangzhou
28.28%	23.78%	47.94%

Both teams to score 58.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57%

43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6%

65.4%

Hebei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65%

28.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92%

64.08%

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.9%

18.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.96%

49.04%

Score Analysis

Hebei 28.28%

Guangzhou 47.94%

Draw 23.77%

Hebei	Draw	Guangzhou
2-1 @ 6.97% 1-0 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.28%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 5.38% 0-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.39% 1-4 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.94%