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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 3
Sep 4, 2020 at 1pm UK
Tianhe Stadium

Evergrande
2 - 1
Guangzhou R&F

Talisca (74'), Paulinho (90+2')
Fang (56'), Paulinho (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zhengyu (62')
Teng (31')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Guangzhou City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guangzhou Evergrande in this match.

Result
Guangzhou EvergrandeDrawGuangzhou R&F
51.72%23.07%25.21%
Both teams to score 58.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.78%42.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38%64.62%
Guangzhou Evergrande Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6%16.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96%46.03%
Guangzhou R&F Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77%30.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6%66.39%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou Evergrande 51.72%
    Guangzhou R&F 25.21%
    Draw 23.07%
Guangzhou EvergrandeDrawGuangzhou R&F
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.72%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-1 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 25.21%


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