Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.