Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei China Fortune win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hebei China Fortune win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hebei China Fortune would win this match.