Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.