Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.