Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.