Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Yifang win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Yifang win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.