Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 37.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Hebei win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
