Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Jun 20, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Yuexiushan Stadium
Gong (54'),
Tixiang (76')
Gong (51'), Zhang (55'), Fu (56')
FT(HT: 0-3)
We said: Guangzhou City 0-1 Zhejiang Professional
There does not look to be too much between these two struggling sides ahead of Monday's encounter, meaning a dull game of football could well be played out.
Goals are not to be expected, with three being scored between the two sides across their opening four games each, so one goal might be enough to nick all three points, and Zhejiang look the most likely to inflict the killer blow.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
21.2% ( 0.38) | 23.83% ( 0.13) | 54.97% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( 0.14) |
| 50.33% ( -0.09) | 49.67% ( 0.09) |
| 28.31% ( -0.08) | 71.69% ( 0.08) |
| 62.07% ( 0.33) | 37.93% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.3% ( 0.32) | 74.7% ( -0.32) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| 82.06% ( -0.22) | 17.94% ( 0.22) |
