SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Guangzhou City | 4 | -9 | 0 |
| 18 | Hebei | 5 | -10 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
21.2% ( 0.38) | 23.83% ( 0.13) | 54.97% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.33% ( -0.09) | 49.67% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( -0.08) | 71.69% ( 0.08) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.07% ( 0.33) | 37.93% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.3% ( 0.32) | 74.7% ( -0.32) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.22) | 17.94% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.23% ( -0.38) | 48.77% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.2% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.04% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.97% |
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