SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Changchun Yatai | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Dalian Pro | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Shanghai Port | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Guangzhou City | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | Hebei | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Guangzhou City |
47.49% ( -0.36) | 27.94% ( 0.08) | 24.57% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 43.28% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.38% ( -0.08) | 61.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.54% ( -0.06) | 81.45% ( 0.06) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( -0.22) | 26.1% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( -0.29) | 61.16% ( 0.3) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.57% ( 0.22) | 41.43% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.06% ( 0.19) | 77.94% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Guangzhou City |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 24.57% |
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