Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Hebei win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.