Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
-0.58) 
0.26) 
