Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.