Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.