Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin TEDA win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin TEDA win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.