Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Qingdao win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Henan Songshan Longmen in this match.