Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Qingdao win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.
