Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.