Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Qingdao had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Qingdao win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.