Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 71.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 10.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.34%) and 0-3 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Qingdao win it was 1-0 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.