Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.