Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Shijiazhuang Ever Bright had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.