Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guangzhou R&F in this match.