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Chinese Super League playoffs | Ninth-16th Place Playoff
Oct 24, 2020 at 8.30am UK
Yuexiushan Stadium

Guangzhou R&F
2 - 1
Qingdao Hainiu

Mierzejewski (71'), Zivkovic (78')
Feiya (30'), Ye (57'), Zhengyu (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vukovic (88')
Yang (13'), Gao (45+2'), Popovic (50'), Liu (83'), Minala (90+5')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Ninth-16th Place Playoff clash between Guangzhou City and Qingdao.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guangzhou R&F in this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawQingdao
39.61%24.99%35.4%
Both teams to score 57.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25%45.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93%68.07%
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28%56.72%
Qingdao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8%25.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07%59.93%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 39.61%
    Qingdao 35.4%
    Draw 24.99%
Guangzhou CityDrawQingdao
2-1 @ 8.64%
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.99%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.4%


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