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Chinese Super League playoffs | 13th-Place Playoff
Nov 10, 2020 at 7.30am UK
Jinzhou Stadium

Shenzhen
2 - 1
Qingdao Hainiu

Mary (43'), Lin (56')
Xu (26'), Qiao (65'), Haolun (75'), Zhou (89'), Selnaes (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Muhammateli (83')
Shi (90+3')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs 13th-Place Playoff clash between Shenzhen and Qingdao.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.

Result
ShenzhenDrawQingdao
49.35%25.89%24.75%
Both teams to score 48.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62%54.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25%75.75%
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93%22.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59%55.41%
Qingdao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8%37.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02%73.98%
Score Analysis
    Shenzhen 49.35%
    Qingdao 24.75%
    Draw 25.89%
ShenzhenDrawQingdao
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.35%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.12%
1-2 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.75%


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