Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.