Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.