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Chinese Super League playoffs | 13th-Place Playoff
Nov 6, 2020 at 7.30am UK
Dalian University Stadium
SF

Qingdao Hainiu
0 - 2
Shenzhen


Zhang (22'), Ruan (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Preciado (7'), Yongpo (55')
Dalun (27'), Xu (87'), Zhang (90')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs 13th-Place Playoff clash between Qingdao and Shenzhen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.

Result
QingdaoDrawShenzhen
29.52%26.51%43.97%
Both teams to score 50.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09%53.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63%75.36%
Qingdao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93%33.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33%69.67%
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63%24.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23%58.77%
Score Analysis
    Qingdao 29.52%
    Shenzhen 43.97%
    Draw 26.51%
QingdaoDrawShenzhen
1-0 @ 8.92%
2-1 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 4.93%
3-1 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.52%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.06%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 11.37%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-2 @ 8.03%
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.97%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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