SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
34.46% ( 2.87) | 24.27% ( 0.88) | 41.26% ( -3.75) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( -2.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -3.24) | 42.55% ( 3.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -3.31) | 64.96% ( 3.31) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.13) | 24.23% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( 0.17) | 58.58% ( -0.17) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -2.94) | 20.76% ( 2.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -4.85) | 53.4% ( 4.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 1)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.73)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.69)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.63)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.43)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.46)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.45)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.32)Other @ 2.8% Total : 41.26% |
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