SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
41.26% ( 1.28) | 25.97% ( 0.38) | 32.77% ( -1.66) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% ( -1.98) | 50.56% ( 1.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% ( -1.78) | 72.48% ( 1.78) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( -0.23) | 24.24% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% ( -0.33) | 58.59% ( 0.33) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -2) | 29.11% ( 2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( -2.54) | 65.03% ( 2.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.72) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.77% |
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