SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 1-0 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
17% ( -0) | 21.79% ( -0.01) | 61.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.89% ( 0.02) | 47.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( 0.02) | 69.34% ( -0.02) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.9% ( 0.01) | 41.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.36% ( 0.01) | 77.64% ( -0.01) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( 0.01) | 14.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.74% ( 0.02) | 43.26% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 5.44% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.37% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.87% Total : 17% | 1-1 @ 10.36% 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.09% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.04% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.35% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 61.19% |
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