Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
26.56% (![]() | 24.51% (![]() | 48.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.55% (![]() | 47.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.34% (![]() | 69.66% (![]() |
Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.06% (![]() | 31.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.6% (![]() | 68.4% (![]() |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% (![]() | 19.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.72% (![]() | 51.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
1-0 @ 7.09% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.56% | 1-1 @ 11.6% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 10.17% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.93% |
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