SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
40.05% ( 0.16) | 24.23% ( -0.05) | 35.72% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.87% ( 0.2) | 42.13% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.46% ( 0.19) | 64.54% ( -0.2) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( 0.16) | 21.15% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.99% ( 0.25) | 54.01% ( -0.26) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.02) | 23.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.69% ( 0.03) | 57.3% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.72% |
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