Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 35.51%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
-0.24) 
0.19) 
