SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
27.39% ( 0.69) | 25.09% ( 0.47) | 47.51% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( -1.52) | 49.34% ( 1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( -1.39) | 71.39% ( 1.38) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( -0.27) | 32.3% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( -0.3) | 68.8% ( 0.3) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( -1.1) | 20.79% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( -1.76) | 53.45% ( 1.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.39% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.51% |
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