SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
31.54% ( -0.09) | 26.6% ( 0.14) | 41.86% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( -0.59) | 53.54% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( -0.5) | 75.05% ( 0.51) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0.37) | 31.43% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( -0.43) | 67.81% ( 0.43) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -0.29) | 25.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( -0.4) | 60.02% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.54% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.85% |
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