SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Dalian Zhixing had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dalian Zhixing win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Dalian Zhixing |
41.79% ( 0) | 26.8% ( -0) | 31.41% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.59% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% ( 0.01) | 54.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% ( 0) | 75.73% ( -0) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( 0) | 25.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.42% ( 0.01) | 60.58% ( -0.01) |
| Dalian Zhixing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% | 31.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.61% | 68.39% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Dalian Zhixing |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.41% |
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