SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
20.33% ( -0.03) | 22.34% ( 0.02) | 57.32% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( -0.13) | 44.46% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( -0.13) | 66.83% ( 0.13) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( -0.11) | 35.83% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.38% ( -0.11) | 72.61% ( 0.11) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( -0.04) | 15.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.04% ( -0.08) | 43.96% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.88% 3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.33% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.32% |
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