SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
63.67% ( 0.75) | 19.37% ( -0.07) | 16.96% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.97) | 36.16% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.73% ( -1.07) | 58.27% ( 1.07) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.21% ( -0.09) | 10.79% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.18% ( -0.2) | 34.82% ( 0.2) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( -1.36) | 34.54% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( -1.47) | 71.25% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.37)1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.81% Total : 63.67% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.37% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.69% Total : 16.96% |
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