SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Henan had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Henan win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Henan |
45.5% ( 0.24) | 24.23% ( -0.05) | 30.27% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.12% ( 0.14) | 43.88% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.73% ( 0.14) | 66.27% ( -0.14) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( 0.16) | 19.44% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.71% ( 0.26) | 51.29% ( -0.26) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( -0.05) | 27.43% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.09% ( -0.06) | 62.91% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Henan |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.27% |
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