SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
45.78% ( -0.66) | 22.13% ( 0.24) | 32.09% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 67.17% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.14% ( -1) | 32.85% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.44% ( -1.16) | 54.55% ( 1.16) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.98% ( -0.61) | 15.01% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.51% ( -1.17) | 43.48% ( 1.17) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.26) | 20.96% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( -0.4) | 53.71% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.3% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.76% Total : 32.09% |
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