Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.