Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 57.87%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.85%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 2-1 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
