Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou City would win this match.
