Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.
