Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.