SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 24.83% | 22.11% | 53.07% |
| Both teams to score 61.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.95% | 38.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.68% | 60.32% |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% | 28.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.99% | 64.01% |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% | 14.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.6% | 42.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 2-1 @ 6.3% 1-0 @ 5.16% 2-0 @ 3.26% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.51% Total : 24.83% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 6.23% 0-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 3.93% 1-4 @ 3.01% 0-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.9% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.07% |
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