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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 29
Aug 30, 2020 at 1pm UK
Hongkou Football Stadium

Sh. Shenhua
1 - 4
Evergrande

Yunding (6')
Zhu (45'), N'Doumbou (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Talisca (18'), Zhu (49' og.), Fernandinho (58'), Elkeson (64' pen.)
Zhi (47')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Guangzhou.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.

Result
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawGuangzhou
24.83%22.11%53.07%
Both teams to score 61.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.95%38.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.68%60.32%
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71%28.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99%64.01%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55%14.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.6%42.4%
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Shenhua 24.83%
    Guangzhou 53.07%
    Draw 22.11%
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawGuangzhou
2-1 @ 6.3%
1-0 @ 5.16%
2-0 @ 3.26%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 24.83%
1-1 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.09%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-1 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 6.23%
0-3 @ 4.93%
2-3 @ 3.93%
1-4 @ 3.01%
0-4 @ 2.39%
2-4 @ 1.9%
1-5 @ 1.17%
0-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 53.07%


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