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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2020 at 11am UK
Yuexiushan Stadium

Guangzhou R&F
1 - 5
Shandong

Saba (84')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Jin (24'), Pelle (35', 37'), Duan (44'), Guo (58')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Shandong Taishan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.37%) and 0-1 (6.28%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Luneng Taishan would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawShandong Taishan
27.48%21.49%51.03%
Both teams to score 66.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.41%32.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.75%54.24%
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47%23.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43%57.56%
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.81%13.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.09%39.9%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 27.48%
    Shandong Taishan 51.03%
    Draw 21.49%
Guangzhou CityDrawShandong Taishan
2-1 @ 6.58%
1-0 @ 4.49%
2-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.22%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.16%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.48%
1-1 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 6.67%
0-0 @ 3.1%
3-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-2 @ 6.37%
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-3 @ 6.22%
2-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 4.3%
1-4 @ 3.15%
2-4 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 2.18%
1-5 @ 1.28%
3-4 @ 1.1%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.03%


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